SPX500 Index
SPX500 Index: studying 355 times Bulls and Bears were in a tug-of-war
Historical energy-state statistics for SPX500 Index across H1, H4, Daily, Weekly — from each timeframe's current zone.
Zone change
W
D
4H
1H
State
Bull Bias
Neutral
Bear Critical
Bear Bias
To higher zone
60%
58%
70.7%
64.1%
To lower zone
40%
42%
29.3%
35.9%
Dist. upper
16.3 pts
38.6 pts
8.2 pts
22 pts
Dist. lower
22.8 pts
3.2 pts
6.3 pts
17.1 pts
Time in zone
Avg time
2.1 candles
1.9 candles
1.5 candles
2.5 candles
Longest
10 candles
9 candles
6 candles
17 candles
Current time
1 candles
2 candles
1 candles
1 candles
Count
60 ×
Bull Bias
355 ×
Neutral
827 ×
Bear Critical
5137 ×
Bear Bias
Sample candles
616
4144
18219
70372
Survey span
~12y
~11y
~8y
~8y
Zone change — notes
W: Tendency to leave the energy zone: 60% up / 40% down. Now to lower edge 22.8 pts, to upper edge 16.3 pts.
D: Tendency to leave the energy zone: 58% up / 42% down. Now to lower edge 3.2 pts, to upper edge 38.6 pts.
4H: Tendency to leave the energy zone: 71% up / 29% down. Now to lower edge 6.3 pts, to upper edge 8.2 pts.
1H: Tendency to leave the energy zone: 64% up / 36% down. Now to lower edge 17.1 pts, to upper edge 22 pts.
Time in zone — notes
W: usually in Bull Bias about 2.1 candles, longest 10 candles; now 1 candles (shorter than average).
D: usually in Neutral about 1.9 candles, longest 9 candles; now 2 candles (longer than average).
4H: usually in Bear Critical about 1.5 candles, longest 6 candles; now 1 candles (shorter than average).
1H: usually in Bear Bias about 2.5 candles, longest 17 candles; now 1 candles (shorter than average).
Frequently asked questions
From its current zone, does SPX500 tend to move up or down?
W (Bull Bias): 60% to higher / 40% to lower; D (Neutral): 58% to higher / 42% to lower; 4H (Bear Critical): 71% to higher / 29% to lower; 1H (Bear Bias): 64% to higher / 36% to lower.
How long does SPX500 usually stay in its current zone?
W: about 2.1 candles (longest 10); D: about 1.9 candles (longest 9); 4H: about 1.5 candles (longest 6); 1H: about 2.5 candles (longest 17).
How far is SPX500 from the zone-change thresholds now?
W: 16.3 pts to upper edge, 22.8 pts to lower; D: 38.6 pts to upper edge, 3.2 pts to lower; 4H: 8.2 pts to upper edge, 6.3 pts to lower; 1H: 22 pts to upper edge, 17.1 pts to lower.
See current analysis →How much data are these statistics based on?
W: 616 candles (~12y); D: 4144 candles (~11y); 4H: 18219 candles (~8y); 1H: 70372 candles (~8y).