Research

SPX500 1H — Energy Zone Transition Trends

Updated to candle

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SPX500 on the SPX500 Index overview →

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Sample: 69,448 candles 1H from 2015-01-01 to 2026-08-28

SPX500Bear Extreme 1H

Occurrences: 2,378 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,378 times 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times 0%

SPX500Bear Critical 1H

Occurrences: 3,179 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,225 times 70%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 954 times 30%

SPX500Bear Bias 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 5,061 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 3,247 times 64.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1,814 times 35.8%

Current market energy at -43.1%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 22.22 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 16.9 points

SPX500Neutral 1H

Occurrences: 5,341 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,866 times 53.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,475 times 46.3%

SPX500Bull Bias 1H

Occurrences: 5,471 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,413 times 44.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 3,058 times 55.9%

SPX500Bull Critical 1H

Occurrences: 3,657 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,309 times 35.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,348 times 64.2%

SPX500Bull Extreme 1H

Occurrences: 2,928 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,928 times 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of SPX500?

Historically, when SPX500 was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 64.2% of the time and down to a lower zone 35.8% of the time (across 5,061 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -43.1%, 22.22 points from the upper bound and 16.9 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 69,448 candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-08-28, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing SPX500's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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