SPX500 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends
Candle close
- Study type
- Historical statistics
- Question answered
- Direction of market moves
- Principle
- Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
- Candles studied
- 70,374 SPX500 1H candles
- Period
- 2015-01-01 – 2026-10-22 (11.8 years)
- Result
- 7-zone table below ↓
Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.
SPX500 — Bear Extreme — 1H
Occurrences: 2,419 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,419 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%
SPX500 — Bear Critical — 1H
Occurrences: 3,222 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,254 times — 70%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 968 times — 30%
SPX500 — Bear Bias — 1H
◉ CURRENT CANDLEOccurrences: 5,137 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 3,294 times — 64.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1,843 times — 35.9%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 10.68 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 28.44 points
SPX500 — Neutral — 1H
Occurrences: 5,415 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,905 times — 53.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,510 times — 46.4%
SPX500 — Bull Bias — 1H
Occurrences: 5,548 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,442 times — 44%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 3,106 times — 56%
SPX500 — Bull Critical — 1H
Occurrences: 3,699 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,327 times — 35.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,372 times — 64.1%
SPX500 — Bull Extreme — 1H
Occurrences: 2,967 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,967 times — 100%
What is the trend of SPX500?
Historically, when SPX500 was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 64.1% of the time and down to a lower zone 35.9% of the time (across 5,137 observations).
Where is the market within its current zone?
The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -31.56%, 10.68 points from the upper bound and 28.44 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.
How are these statistics calculated?
Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.
Where does the data come from and how many candles?
The sample contains 70,374 candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.
Are these numbers a prediction?
No. These are historical frequencies describing SPX500's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.
What are the 7 market energy states?
Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.
See all 7 Market States →To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .