2AI
2AITRADING
Behind the Price
Research

SPX500 1H: Time Spent in Each Energy Zone

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
How long the market holds each state
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
70,374 SPX500 1H candles
Period
2015-01-01 – 2026-10-22 (11.8 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD4H
TIME IN ENERGY ZONE
Unit: candles
Average
Max
Now
Bull Extreme2,967 times
3.9
37
Bull Critical3,699 times
1.7
13
Bull Bias5,548 times
2.5
19
Neutral5,415 times
2.3
19
Bear Bias5,137 times
2.5
17
3
Bear Critical3,222 times
1.6
12
Bear Extreme2,419 times
3.2
21
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bear Bias→Sellers→

SPX500 — Bear Extreme — 1H

SPX500 has been in this state 2,419 times
Average time in this state: 3.2 candles — median 2 candles
Longest time in this state: 21 candles

SPX500 — Bear Critical — 1H

SPX500 has been in this state 3,222 times
Average time in this state: 1.6 candles — median 1 candles
Longest time in this state: 12 candles

SPX500 — Bear Bias — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

SPX500 has been in this state 5,137 times
Average time in this state: 2.5 candles — median 2 candles
Longest time in this state: 17 candles

Current streak is at candle 3 — longer than the historical average (2.5 candles)
Ongoing streak — excluded from the historical stats above.

SPX500 — Neutral — 1H

SPX500 has been in this state 5,415 times
Average time in this state: 2.3 candles — median 1 candles
Longest time in this state: 19 candles

SPX500 — Bull Bias — 1H

SPX500 has been in this state 5,548 times
Average time in this state: 2.5 candles — median 2 candles
Longest time in this state: 19 candles

SPX500 — Bull Critical — 1H

SPX500 has been in this state 3,699 times
Average time in this state: 1.7 candles — median 1 candles
Longest time in this state: 13 candles

SPX500 — Bull Extreme — 1H

SPX500 has been in this state 2,967 times
Average time in this state: 3.9 candles — median 3 candles
Longest time in this state: 37 candles

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

How long does SPX500 usually stay in Bear Bias?

On average 2.5 candles, median 2, longest 17 (across 5,137 historical streaks). The current streak is at candle 3.

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -30.81%, 9.93 points from the upper bound and 29.19 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

A streak is a run of consecutive candles with the same energy state. Average, median and maximum are computed over COMPLETED streaks; the ongoing streak is excluded from historical stats and reported separately to avoid biasing the numbers.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 70,374 candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing SPX500's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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