Research

SPX500 4H — Time Spent in Each Energy Zone

Updated to candle

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SPX500 on the SPX500 Index overview →

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Sample: 17,997 candles 4H from 2014-12-31 to 2026-08-28

SPX500Bear Extreme 4H

SPX500 has been in this state 643 times
Average time in this state: 3.2 candles — median 2 candles
Longest time in this state: 14 candles

SPX500Bear Critical 4H

SPX500 has been in this state 812 times
Average time in this state: 1.5 candles — median 1 candles
Longest time in this state: 6 candles

SPX500Bear Bias 4H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

SPX500 has been in this state 1,262 times
Average time in this state: 2.4 candles — median 2 candles
Longest time in this state: 14 candles

Current streak is at candle 1 — shorter than the historical average (2.4 candles)
Ongoing streak — excluded from the historical stats above.

SPX500Neutral 4H

SPX500 has been in this state 1,315 times
Average time in this state: 2.2 candles — median 1 candles
Longest time in this state: 14 candles

SPX500Bull Bias 4H

SPX500 has been in this state 1,468 times
Average time in this state: 2.3 candles — median 2 candles
Longest time in this state: 15 candles

SPX500Bull Critical 4H

SPX500 has been in this state 1,069 times
Average time in this state: 1.6 candles — median 1 candles
Longest time in this state: 9 candles

SPX500Bull Extreme 4H

SPX500 has been in this state 854 times
Average time in this state: 4.3 candles — median 4 candles
Longest time in this state: 23 candles

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

How long does SPX500 usually stay in Bear Bias?

On average 2.4 candles, median 2, longest 14 (across 1,262 historical streaks). The current streak is at candle 1.

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -57.8%, 36.92 points from the upper bound and 2.2 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

A streak is a run of consecutive candles with the same energy state. Average, median and maximum are computed over COMPLETED streaks; the ongoing streak is excluded from historical stats and reported separately to avoid biasing the numbers.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 17,997 candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-08-28, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing SPX500's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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