SPX500 4H — Energy Zone Transition Trends
Updated to candle
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SPX500 — Bear Extreme — 4H
Occurrences: 643 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 643 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%
SPX500 — Bear Critical — 4H
Occurrences: 812 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 571 times — 70.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 241 times — 29.7%
SPX500 — Bear Bias — 4H
◉ CURRENT CANDLEOccurrences: 1,262 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 809 times — 64.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 453 times — 35.9%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 36.92 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 2.2 points
SPX500 — Neutral — 4H
Occurrences: 1,315 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 745 times — 56.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 570 times — 43.3%
SPX500 — Bull Bias — 4H
Occurrences: 1,468 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 721 times — 49.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 747 times — 50.9%
SPX500 — Bull Critical — 4H
Occurrences: 1,069 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 392 times — 36.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 677 times — 63.3%
SPX500 — Bull Extreme — 4H
Occurrences: 854 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 854 times — 100%
What is the trend of SPX500?
Historically, when SPX500 was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 64.1% of the time and down to a lower zone 35.9% of the time (across 1,262 observations).
Where is the market within its current zone?
The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -57.8%, 36.92 points from the upper bound and 2.2 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.
How are these statistics calculated?
Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.
Where does the data come from and how many candles?
The sample contains 17,997 candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-08-28, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.
Are these numbers a prediction?
No. These are historical frequencies describing SPX500's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.
What are the 7 market energy states?
Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.
See all 7 Market States →To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .