SPX500 4H: Energy Zone Transition Trends
Candle close
- Study type
- Historical statistics
- Question answered
- Direction of market moves
- Principle
- Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
- Candles studied
- 18,221 SPX500 4H candles
- Period
- 2014-12-31 – 2026-10-22 (11.8 years)
- Result
- 7-zone table below ↓
Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.
SPX500 — Bear Extreme — 4H
Occurrences: 653 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 653 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%
SPX500 — Bear Critical — 4H
◉ CURRENT CANDLEOccurrences: 827 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 585 times — 70.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 242 times — 29.3%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 0.92 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 13.58 points
SPX500 — Bear Bias — 4H
Occurrences: 1,283 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 819 times — 63.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 464 times — 36.2%
SPX500 — Neutral — 4H
Occurrences: 1,334 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 755 times — 56.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 579 times — 43.4%
SPX500 — Bull Bias — 4H
Occurrences: 1,489 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 731 times — 49.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 758 times — 50.9%
SPX500 — Bull Critical — 4H
Occurrences: 1,080 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 395 times — 36.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 685 times — 63.4%
SPX500 — Bull Extreme — 4H
Occurrences: 860 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 860 times — 100%
What is the trend of SPX500?
Historically, when SPX500 was in the Bear Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 70.7% of the time and down to a lower zone 29.3% of the time (across 827 observations).
Where is the market within its current zone?
The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%. The market is at -60.92%, 0.92 points from the upper bound and 13.58 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.
How are these statistics calculated?
Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.
Where does the data come from and how many candles?
The sample contains 18,221 candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.
Are these numbers a prediction?
No. These are historical frequencies describing SPX500's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.
What are the 7 market energy states?
Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.
See all 7 Market States →To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .