SPX500 D: Energy Zone Transition Trends
Candle open
- Study type
- Historical statistics
- Question answered
- Direction of market moves
- Principle
- Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
- Candles studied
- 4,144 SPX500 D candles
- Period
- 2013-01-03 – 2026-10-21 (13.8 years)
- Result
- 7-zone table below ↓
Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.
SPX500 — Bear Extreme — D
Occurrences: 134 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 134 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%
SPX500 — Bear Critical — D
Occurrences: 162 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 107 times — 66%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 55 times — 34%
SPX500 — Bear Bias — D
Occurrences: 294 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 191 times — 65%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 103 times — 35%
SPX500 — Neutral — D
◉ CURRENT CANDLEOccurrences: 355 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 206 times — 58%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 149 times — 42%
Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 38.6 points
Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 3.16 points
SPX500 — Bull Bias — D
Occurrences: 419 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 230 times — 54.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 189 times — 45.1%
SPX500 — Bull Critical — D
Occurrences: 326 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 143 times — 43.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 183 times — 56.1%
SPX500 — Bull Extreme — D
Occurrences: 256 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 256 times — 100%
What is the trend of SPX500?
Historically, when SPX500 was in the Neutral zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 58% of the time and down to a lower zone 42% of the time (across 355 observations).
Where is the market within its current zone?
The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%. The market is at -17.72%, 38.6 points from the upper bound and 3.16 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.
How are these statistics calculated?
Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.
Where does the data come from and how many candles?
The sample contains 4,144 candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-21, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.
Are these numbers a prediction?
No. These are historical frequencies describing SPX500's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.
What are the 7 market energy states?
Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.
See all 7 Market States →To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .