Research

SPX500 D — Energy Zone Transition Trends

Updated to candle

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SPX500 on the SPX500 Index overview →

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Sample: 4,098 candles D from 2013-01-03 to 2026-08-28

SPX500Bear Extreme D

Occurrences: 132 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 132 times 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times 0%

SPX500Bear Critical D

Occurrences: 160 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 105 times 65.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 55 times 34.4%

SPX500Bear Bias D

Occurrences: 290 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 188 times 64.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 102 times 35.2%

SPX500Neutral D

Occurrences: 350 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 203 times 58%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 147 times 42%

SPX500Bull Bias D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 411 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 227 times 55.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 184 times 44.8%

Current market energy at 23.3%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 36.7 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 2.42 points

SPX500Bull Critical D

Occurrences: 323 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 143 times 44.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 180 times 55.7%

SPX500Bull Extreme D

Occurrences: 254 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 254 times 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of SPX500?

Historically, when SPX500 was in the Bull Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 55.2% of the time and down to a lower zone 44.8% of the time (across 411 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%. The market is at 23.3%, 36.7 points from the upper bound and 2.42 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 4,098 candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-08-28, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing SPX500's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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