SPX500 W: Energy Zone Transition Trends
Candle open
- Study type
- Historical statistics
- Question answered
- Direction of market moves
- Principle
- Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
- Candles studied
- 616 SPX500 W candles
- Period
- 2010-01-04 – 2026-10-12 (16.8 years)
- Result
- 7-zone table below ↓
Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.
SPX500 — Bear Extreme — W
Occurrences: 20 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 20 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%
SPX500 — Bear Critical — W
Occurrences: 20 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 17 times — 85%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 3 times — 15%
SPX500 — Bear Bias — W
Occurrences: 48 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 31 times — 64.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 17 times — 35.4%
SPX500 — Neutral — W
Occurrences: 53 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 35 times — 66%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 18 times — 34%
SPX500 — Bull Bias — W
◉ CURRENT CANDLEOccurrences: 60 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 36 times — 60%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 24 times — 40%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 16.32 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 22.8 points
SPX500 — Bull Critical — W
Occurrences: 59 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 31 times — 52.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 28 times — 47.5%
SPX500 — Bull Extreme — W
Occurrences: 42 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 42 times — 100%
What is the trend of SPX500?
Historically, when SPX500 was in the Bull Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 60% of the time and down to a lower zone 40% of the time (across 60 observations).
Where is the market within its current zone?
The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%. The market is at 43.68%, 16.32 points from the upper bound and 22.8 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.
How are these statistics calculated?
Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.
Where does the data come from and how many candles?
The sample contains 616 candles from 2010-01-04 to 2026-10-12, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.
Are these numbers a prediction?
No. These are historical frequencies describing SPX500's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.
What are the 7 market energy states?
Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.
See all 7 Market States →To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .