Research

SPX500 W — Energy Zone Transition Trends

Updated to candle

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SPX500 on the SPX500 Index overview →

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Sample: 609 candles W from 2010-01-04 to 2026-08-24

SPX500Bear Extreme W

Occurrences: 20 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 20 times 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times 0%

SPX500Bear Critical W

Occurrences: 20 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 17 times 85%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 3 times 15%

SPX500Bear Bias W

Occurrences: 48 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 31 times 64.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 17 times 35.4%

SPX500Neutral W

Occurrences: 53 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 35 times 66%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 18 times 34%

SPX500Bull Bias W

Occurrences: 59 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 35 times 59.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 24 times 40.7%

SPX500Bull Critical W

Occurrences: 57 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 30 times 52.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 27 times 47.4%

SPX500Bull Extreme W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 40 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 40 times 100%

Current market energy at 74.8%
Distance to peak 100%: 25.2 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 0.3 points
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of SPX500?

Historically, when SPX500 was in the Bull Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 0% of the time and down to a lower zone 100% of the time (across 40 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%. The market is at 74.8%, 25.2 points from the upper bound and 0.3 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 609 candles from 2010-01-04 to 2026-08-24, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing SPX500's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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