XAUUSD
XAUUSD: studying 196 times Bears were very strong
Historical energy-state statistics for XAUUSD across H1, H4, Daily, Weekly — from each timeframe's current zone.
Zone change
W
D
4H
1H
State
Bear Bias
Bear Critical
Bear Extreme
Bear Critical
To higher zone
65%
65.8%
100%
73.4%
To lower zone
35%
34.2%
0%
26.6%
Dist. upper
5.6 pts
7.7 pts
21.4 pts
13.3 pts
Dist. lower
33.5 pts
6.8 pts
4.1 pts
1.2 pts
Time in zone
Avg time
3 candles
1.6 candles
3.3 candles
1.7 candles
Longest
12 candles
7 candles
17 candles
11 candles
Current time
3 candles
1 candles
2 candles
1 candles
Count
60 ×
Bear Bias
196 ×
Bear Critical
590 ×
Bear Extreme
3332 ×
Bear Critical
Sample candles
718
4017
18178
70047
Survey span
~14y
~11y
~8y
~8y
Zone change — notes
W: Tendency to leave the energy zone: 65% up / 35% down. Now to lower edge 33.5 pts, to upper edge 5.6 pts.
D: Tendency to leave the energy zone: 66% up / 34% down. Now to lower edge 6.8 pts, to upper edge 7.7 pts.
4H: Tendency to leave the energy zone: 100% up / 0% down. Now to lower edge 4.1 pts, to upper edge 21.4 pts.
1H: Tendency to leave the energy zone: 73% up / 27% down. Now to lower edge 1.2 pts, to upper edge 13.3 pts.
Time in zone — notes
W: usually in Bear Bias about 3 candles, longest 12 candles; now 3 candles (at average).
D: usually in Bear Critical about 1.6 candles, longest 7 candles; now 1 candles (shorter than average).
4H: usually in Bear Extreme about 3.3 candles, longest 17 candles; now 2 candles (shorter than average).
1H: usually in Bear Critical about 1.7 candles, longest 11 candles; now 1 candles (shorter than average).
Frequently asked questions
From its current zone, does XAUUSD tend to move up or down?
W (Bear Bias): 65% to higher / 35% to lower; D (Bear Critical): 66% to higher / 34% to lower; 4H (Bear Extreme): 100% to higher / 0% to lower; 1H (Bear Critical): 73% to higher / 27% to lower.
How long does XAUUSD usually stay in its current zone?
W: about 3 candles (longest 12); D: about 1.6 candles (longest 7); 4H: about 3.3 candles (longest 17); 1H: about 1.7 candles (longest 11).
How far is XAUUSD from the zone-change thresholds now?
W: 5.6 pts to upper edge, 33.5 pts to lower; D: 7.7 pts to upper edge, 6.8 pts to lower; 4H: 21.4 pts to upper edge, 4.1 pts to lower; 1H: 13.3 pts to upper edge, 1.2 pts to lower.
See current analysis →How much data are these statistics based on?
W: 718 candles (~14y); D: 4017 candles (~11y); 4H: 18178 candles (~8y); 1H: 70047 candles (~8y).