XAUUSD 4H — Energy Zone Transition Trends
Updated to candle
See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →
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XAUUSD — Bear Extreme — 4H
◉ CURRENT CANDLEOccurrences: 579 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 579 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 25.5 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 0 points
XAUUSD — Bear Critical — 4H
Occurrences: 859 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 611 times — 71.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 248 times — 28.9%
XAUUSD — Bear Bias — 4H
Occurrences: 1,350 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 824 times — 61%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 526 times — 39%
XAUUSD — Neutral — 4H
Occurrences: 1,431 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 748 times — 52.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 683 times — 47.7%
XAUUSD — Bull Bias — 4H
Occurrences: 1,488 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 643 times — 43.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 845 times — 56.8%
XAUUSD — Bull Critical — 4H
Occurrences: 953 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 318 times — 33.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 635 times — 66.6%
XAUUSD — Bull Extreme — 4H
Occurrences: 761 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 761 times — 100%
What is the trend of XAUUSD?
Historically, when XAUUSD was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 579 observations).
Where is the market within its current zone?
The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -100%, 25.5 points from the upper bound and 0 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.
How are these statistics calculated?
Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.
Where does the data come from and how many candles?
The sample contains 17,985 candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-08-28, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.
Are these numbers a prediction?
No. These are historical frequencies describing XAUUSD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.
What are the 7 market energy states?
Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.
See all 7 Market States →To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .