Research

XAUUSD D — Energy Zone Transition Trends

Updated to candle

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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Sample: 3,970 candles D from 2013-01-03 to 2026-08-27

XAUUSDBear Extreme D

Occurrences: 141 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 141 times 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times 0%

XAUUSDBear Critical D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 190 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 125 times 65.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 65 times 34.2%

Current market energy at -65.6%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 5.6 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 8.9 points

XAUUSDBear Bias D

Occurrences: 318 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 188 times 59.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 130 times 40.9%

XAUUSDNeutral D

Occurrences: 333 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 174 times 52.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 159 times 47.7%

XAUUSDBull Bias D

Occurrences: 350 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 173 times 49.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 177 times 50.6%

XAUUSDBull Critical D

Occurrences: 230 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 92 times 40%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 138 times 60%

XAUUSDBull Extreme D

Occurrences: 204 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 204 times 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of XAUUSD?

Historically, when XAUUSD was in the Bear Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 65.8% of the time and down to a lower zone 34.2% of the time (across 190 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%. The market is at -65.6%, 5.6 points from the upper bound and 8.9 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,970 candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-08-27, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing XAUUSD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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