XAUUSD D: Energy Zone Transition Trends
Candle open
- Study type
- Historical statistics
- Question answered
- Direction of market moves
- Principle
- Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
- Candles studied
- 4,017 XAUUSD D candles
- Period
- 2013-01-03 – 2026-10-21 (13.8 years)
- Result
- 7-zone table below ↓
Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.
XAUUSD — Bear Extreme — D
Occurrences: 145 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 145 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%
XAUUSD — Bear Critical — D
◉ CURRENT CANDLEOccurrences: 196 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 129 times — 65.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 67 times — 34.2%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 7.68 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 6.82 points
XAUUSD — Bear Bias — D
Occurrences: 325 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 191 times — 58.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 134 times — 41.2%
XAUUSD — Neutral — D
Occurrences: 337 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 174 times — 51.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 163 times — 48.4%
XAUUSD — Bull Bias — D
Occurrences: 352 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 173 times — 49.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 179 times — 50.9%
XAUUSD — Bull Critical — D
Occurrences: 230 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 92 times — 40%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 138 times — 60%
XAUUSD — Bull Extreme — D
Occurrences: 204 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 204 times — 100%
What is the trend of XAUUSD?
Historically, when XAUUSD was in the Bear Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 65.8% of the time and down to a lower zone 34.2% of the time (across 196 observations).
Where is the market within its current zone?
The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%. The market is at -67.68%, 7.68 points from the upper bound and 6.82 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.
How are these statistics calculated?
Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.
Where does the data come from and how many candles?
The sample contains 4,017 candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-21, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.
Are these numbers a prediction?
No. These are historical frequencies describing XAUUSD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.
What are the 7 market energy states?
Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.
See all 7 Market States →To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .