Research

XAUUSD W — Energy Zone Transition Trends

Updated to candle

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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Sample: 711 candles W from 2013-01-14 to 2026-08-24

XAUUSDBear Extreme W

Occurrences: 21 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 21 times 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times 0%

XAUUSDBear Critical W

Occurrences: 38 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 28 times 73.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 10 times 26.3%

XAUUSDBear Bias W

Occurrences: 60 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 39 times 65%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 21 times 35%

XAUUSDNeutral W

Occurrences: 60 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 30 times 50%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 30 times 50%

XAUUSDBull Bias W

Occurrences: 67 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 29 times 43.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 38 times 56.7%

XAUUSDBull Critical W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 43 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 20 times 46.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 23 times 53.5%

Current market energy at 69.6%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 4.9 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 9.6 points

XAUUSDBull Extreme W

Occurrences: 38 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 38 times 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of XAUUSD?

Historically, when XAUUSD was in the Bull Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 46.5% of the time and down to a lower zone 53.5% of the time (across 43 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%. The market is at 69.6%, 4.9 points from the upper bound and 9.6 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 711 candles from 2013-01-14 to 2026-08-24, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing XAUUSD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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