XAUUSD W: Energy Zone Transition Trends
Candle open
- Study type
- Historical statistics
- Question answered
- Direction of market moves
- Principle
- Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
- Candles studied
- 718 XAUUSD W candles
- Period
- 2013-01-14 – 2026-10-12 (13.7 years)
- Result
- 7-zone table below ↓
Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.
XAUUSD — Bear Extreme — W
Occurrences: 21 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 21 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%
XAUUSD — Bear Critical — W
Occurrences: 38 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 28 times — 73.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 10 times — 26.3%
XAUUSD — Bear Bias — W
◉ CURRENT CANDLEOccurrences: 60 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 39 times — 65%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 21 times — 35%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 5.6 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 33.52 points
XAUUSD — Neutral — W
Occurrences: 60 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 30 times — 50%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 30 times — 50%
XAUUSD — Bull Bias — W
Occurrences: 68 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 29 times — 42.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 39 times — 57.4%
XAUUSD — Bull Critical — W
Occurrences: 44 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 20 times — 45.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 24 times — 54.5%
XAUUSD — Bull Extreme — W
Occurrences: 38 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 38 times — 100%
What is the trend of XAUUSD?
Historically, when XAUUSD was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 65% of the time and down to a lower zone 35% of the time (across 60 observations).
Where is the market within its current zone?
The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -26.48%, 5.6 points from the upper bound and 33.52 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.
How are these statistics calculated?
Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.
Where does the data come from and how many candles?
The sample contains 718 candles from 2013-01-14 to 2026-10-12, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.
Are these numbers a prediction?
No. These are historical frequencies describing XAUUSD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.
What are the 7 market energy states?
Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.
See all 7 Market States →To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .