Research

XAUUSD 1H — Energy Zone Transition Trends

Updated to candle

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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Sample: 69,051 candles 1H from 2015-01-02 to 2026-08-24

XAUUSDBear Extreme 1H

Occurrences: 2,166 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,166 times 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times 0%

XAUUSDBear Critical 1H

Occurrences: 3,272 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,396 times 73.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 876 times 26.8%

XAUUSDBear Bias 1H

Occurrences: 5,343 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 3,333 times 62.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,010 times 37.6%

XAUUSDNeutral 1H

Occurrences: 5,655 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,911 times 51.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,744 times 48.5%

XAUUSDBull Bias 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 5,595 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,266 times 40.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 3,329 times 59.5%

Current market energy at 51.5%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 8.5 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 30.62 points

XAUUSDBull Critical 1H

Occurrences: 3,584 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,115 times 31.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,469 times 68.9%

XAUUSDBull Extreme 1H

Occurrences: 2,540 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,540 times 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of XAUUSD?

Historically, when XAUUSD was in the Bull Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 40.5% of the time and down to a lower zone 59.5% of the time (across 5,595 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%. The market is at 51.5%, 8.5 points from the upper bound and 30.62 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 69,051 candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-08-24, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing XAUUSD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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