XAUUSD 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends
Candle close
- Study type
- Historical statistics
- Question answered
- Direction of market moves
- Principle
- Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
- Candles studied
- 70,046 XAUUSD 1H candles
- Period
- 2015-01-02 – 2026-10-22 (11.8 years)
- Result
- 7-zone table below ↓
Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.
XAUUSD — Bear Extreme — 1H
◉ CURRENT CANDLEOccurrences: 2,204 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,204 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 4.79 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 20.71 points
XAUUSD — Bear Critical — 1H
Occurrences: 3,332 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,445 times — 73.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 887 times — 26.6%
XAUUSD — Bear Bias — 1H
Occurrences: 5,442 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 3,393 times — 62.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,049 times — 37.7%
XAUUSD — Neutral — 1H
Occurrences: 5,752 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,958 times — 51.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,794 times — 48.6%
XAUUSD — Bull Bias — 1H
Occurrences: 5,682 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,296 times — 40.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 3,386 times — 59.6%
XAUUSD — Bull Critical — 1H
Occurrences: 3,635 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,129 times — 31.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,506 times — 68.9%
XAUUSD — Bull Extreme — 1H
Occurrences: 2,577 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,577 times — 100%
What is the trend of XAUUSD?
Historically, when XAUUSD was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 2,204 observations).
Where is the market within its current zone?
The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -79.29%, 4.79 points from the upper bound and 20.71 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.
How are these statistics calculated?
Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.
Where does the data come from and how many candles?
The sample contains 70,046 candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.
Are these numbers a prediction?
No. These are historical frequencies describing XAUUSD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.
What are the 7 market energy states?
Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.
See all 7 Market States →To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .