Analysis

USDJPY 158.745 ↓0.06%: Bulls in the peak-force zone · 4H 00:00 Oct 15, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 158.835 · High 158.951 · Low 158.662 · Close 158.745 · Range (high − low) 0.289
USDJPY closed at 158.745, down 0.088 (-0.06%) from 158.833.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Extreme zone at 89.4% to Bull Extreme at 80.1%, down 9.3 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price158.151158.462158.833158.745
Energy-19.0%5.6%89.4%80.1%
Price change↓ 0.19%↑ 0.20%↑ 0.23%↓ 0.06%
Energy change↓ 41.2↑ 24.6↑ 83.8↓ 9.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.19%↑ 0.20%↑ 0.23%↓ 0.06%↓ 41.2↑ 24.6↑ 83.8↓ 9.3
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.06% — higher than 33% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 9.3 pts — higher than 47% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme USDJPY 4H

Sample: 18,375 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-23
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 827 times

▸When USDJPY is in Bull Extreme:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 0 times — 0%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 827 times — 100%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: 80.1%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 19.9%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 5.6%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H4 · 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDJPY chart →
Market Energy
89.4%
Bull Extreme
80.1%
Bull Extreme
17.8%
Neutral
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The Bull Extreme reading recorded from just-completed 4H candle data for USDJPY.

At the 4H session close, Market Energy at 80.1%, down -9.3% from 89.4% in the previous candle.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -94.6 to 91.5.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 00:00 on 14-10-2026, USDJPY was at 158.745, down 0.06% from the previous candle (158.833). Market Energy was 80.1%, down 9.3 points from 89.4%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 158.745, down 0.06% from the previous 4H candle (158.833). This drop is larger than 33% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY, across 12,125 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 9.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 89.4% to 80.1%. This drop is larger than 47% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at 89.4%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 80.1%, USDJPY is 19.9 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 5.6 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -99.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -42.8%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Extreme, 80.1%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 95.6%. USDJPY (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .