Analysis

USDJPY 158.833 ↑0.23%: Bulls in the peak-force zone · 4H 20:00 Oct 14, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 158.463 · High 158.854 · Low 158.3975 · Close 158.833 · Range (high − low) 0.4565
USDJPY closed at 158.833, up 0.371 (+0.23%) from 158.462.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Neutral zone at 5.6% to Bull Extreme at 89.4%, up 83.8 points.
Second straight up candle, price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price158.449158.151158.462158.833
Energy22.2%-19.0%5.6%89.4%
Price change↑ 0.09%↓ 0.19%↑ 0.20%↑ 0.23%
Energy change↑ 20.7↓ 41.2↑ 24.6↑ 83.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.09%↓ 0.19%↑ 0.20%↑ 0.23%↑ 20.7↓ 41.2↑ 24.6↑ 83.8
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.23% — higher than 83% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 83.8 pts — higher than 98% of past rises
Knowledge

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RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme USDJPY 4H

Sample: 18,369 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-22
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 827 times

▸When USDJPY is in Bull Extreme:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 0 times — 0%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 827 times — 100%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: 89.43%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 10.57%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 14.93%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H4 · 2026-10-14 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDJPY chart →
Market Energy
5.6%
Neutral
89.4%
Bull Extreme
80.1%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 4H candle, USDJPY within Bull Extreme trend energy.

Market movement just recorded on the 4H timeframe, Market Energy reading rose +83.8%, moving from 5.6% to 89.4% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -94.6 to 91.5.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 20:00 on 14-10-2026, USDJPY was at 158.833, up 0.23% from the previous candle (158.462). Market Energy was 89.4%, up 83.8 points from 5.6%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 158.833, up 0.23% from the previous 4H candle (158.462). This rise is larger than 83% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY, across 12,124 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 83.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 5.6% to 89.4%. This rise is larger than 98% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at 5.6%, Neutral — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved up to a higher zone: Neutral → Bull Extreme.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 89.4%, USDJPY is 10.57 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 14.93 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 39.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 85.3%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Extreme, 89.4%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 97.6%. USDJPY (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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