Analysis

USDJPY 158.152 ↓0.09%: Bulls have the edge · D Oct 21, 2026

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Candle open
Price and energy
Open 158.293 · High 158.394 · Low 157.84 · Close 158.152 · Range (high − low) 0.554
USDJPY closed at 158.152, down 0.14 (-0.09%) from 158.292.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Bias zone at 39.4% to Bull Bias at 29.7%, down 9.7 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price157.906158.53158.292158.152
Energy4.1%37.2%39.4%29.7%
Price change↓ 0.06%↑ 0.40%↓ 0.15%↓ 0.09%
Energy change↓ 4.9↑ 33.1↑ 2.2↓ 9.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.06%↑ 0.40%↓ 0.15%↓ 0.09%↓ 4.9↑ 33.1↑ 2.2↓ 9.7
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.09% — higher than 26% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 9.7 pts — higher than 44% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias USDJPY Daily

Sample: 4,071 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-20
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 397 times

▸When USDJPY is in Bull Bias:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 191 times — 48.1%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 206 times — 51.9%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: 29.75%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 30.25%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 8.87%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · D1 · 2026-10-21 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDJPY chart →
Market Energy
39.4%
Bull Bias
29.7%
Bull Bias
Expected at
07:10
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the Daily candle, USDJPY in the energy zone leaning Bull.

The energy side shows Compared to the previous candle (39.4%), Market Energy dropped -9.7% to 29.7%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 3 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from 4.1 to 39.4.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle closed at 07:00 on 21-10-2026, USDJPY was at 158.152, down 0.09% from the previous candle (158.292). Market Energy was 29.7%, down 9.7 points from 39.4%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 158.152, down 0.09% from the previous Daily candle (158.292). This drop is larger than 26% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY, across 2,441 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 9.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 39.4% to 29.7%. This drop is larger than 44% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had USDJPY at 39.4%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 29.7%, USDJPY is 30.25 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 8.87 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 66.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 56.1%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Bias, 29.7%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -2.3%. USDJPY energy is currently above DXY by 32.1 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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