Analysis

USDJPY 157.9815 ↓0.22%: Bulls & Bears in a tug-of-war · D Oct 14, 2026

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Candle open
Price and energy
Open 158.1515 · High 158.466 · Low 157.9325 · Close 157.9815 · Range (high − low) 0.5335
USDJPY closed at 157.9815, down 0.3415 (-0.22%) from 158.323.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Bias zone at 44.5% to Neutral at 4.4%, down 40.1 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price158.189158.534158.323157.982
Energy48.1%50.5%44.5%4.4%
Price change↓ 0.08%↑ 0.22%↓ 0.13%↓ 0.22%
Energy change↓ 1.4↑ 2.4↓ 6.1↓ 40.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.08%↑ 0.22%↓ 0.13%↓ 0.22%↓ 1.4↑ 2.4↓ 6.1↓ 40.1
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.22% — higher than 48% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 40.1 pts — higher than 86% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral USDJPY Daily

Sample: 4,069 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-18
Number of Neutral occurrences: 330 times

▸When USDJPY is in Neutral:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 180 times — 54.5%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 150 times — 45.5%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: 4.36%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 16.52%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 25.24%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · D1 · 2026-10-14 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDJPY chart →
Market Energy
44.5%
Bull Bias
4.4%
Neutral
9.4%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

With the Daily candle just closed, USDJPY in the balanced Market Energy zone.

Market trend update: Energy delta -40.1%: Market Energy at 4.4%, previously 44.5%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from 4.4 to 50.5.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle closed at 07:00 on 14-10-2026, USDJPY was at 157.9815, down 0.22% from the previous candle (158.323). Market Energy was 4.4%, down 40.1 points from 44.5%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 157.9815, down 0.22% from the previous Daily candle (158.323). This drop is larger than 48% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY, across 2,435 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 40.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 44.5% to 4.4%. This drop is larger than 86% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had USDJPY at 44.5%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 4.4%, USDJPY is 16.52 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 25.24 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 17.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -18.9%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Neutral, 4.4%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -65.7%. USDJPY energy is currently above DXY by 70 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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