Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 153.421 to 154.409, up 0.64%
Market Energy Bear Critical -70.5% to Bear Bias -42.7%, up 27.7 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.61%0.59%0.09%0.64%
Energy23.52.05.127.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.61% 0.59% 0.09% 0.64% 23.5 2.0 5.1 27.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.64% — higher than 86% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 27.7 pts — higher than 80% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias USDJPY Daily

Sample: 4,040 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 322 times

When USDJPY is in Bear Bias:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 199 times61.8%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 123 times38.2%

Current USDJPY market energy: -42.74%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 21.86%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 17.26%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · D1 · 2026-09-14 00:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-70.5%
Bear Critical
-42.7%
Bear Bias
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the Daily session ends, Result for USDJPY: the Bear Bias state.

Market energy measurement Market trend energy recorded a +27.7% rise from the previous candle, from -70.5% to -42.7%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -90.8 to -42.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 14-09-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 154.409, up 0.64% from the previous candle (153.421). Market Energy was -42.7%, up 27.7 points from -70.5%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 154.409, up 0.64% from the previous Daily candle (153.421). This rise is larger than 86% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY, across 2,409 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 27.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -70.5% to -42.7%. This rise is larger than 80% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had USDJPY at -70.5%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved up to a higher zone: Bear Critical → Bear Bias.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -42.7%, USDJPY is 21.86 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 17.26 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -85.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -4.5%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Bias, -42.7%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -13.5%. USDJPY energy is currently below DXY by 29.3 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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