Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 156.206 to 153.829, down 1.52%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -91.0% to Bear Extreme -96.2%, down 5.2 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price2.05%0.40%0.03%1.52%
Energy70.12.93.15.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
2.05% 0.40% 0.03% 1.52% 70.1 2.9 3.1 5.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.52% — higher than 98% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 5.2 pts — higher than 28% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme USDJPY Daily

Sample: 4,040 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 111 times

When USDJPY is in Bear Extreme:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 111 times100%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current USDJPY market energy: -96.15%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 21.65%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 3.85%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · D1 · 2026-09-07 00:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-91.0%
Bear Extreme
-96.2%
Bear Extreme
-97.7%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The Bear Extreme state determined for USDJPY through the Daily candle data.

End-of-session update for Daily, Market Energy reading dropped -5.2%, moving from -91% to -96.2% after the Daily candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 4 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -97 to -26.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 07-09-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 153.829, down 1.52% from the previous candle (156.206). Market Energy was -96.2%, down 5.2 points from -91%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 153.829, down 1.52% from the previous Daily candle (156.206). This drop is larger than 98% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY, across 2,403 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 5.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -91% to -96.2%. This drop is larger than 28% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had USDJPY at -91%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -96.2%, USDJPY is 21.65 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 3.85 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -70.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -42.4%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Extreme, -96.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -15.8%. USDJPY energy is currently below DXY by 80.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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