Analysis

USDJPY 158.14 ↑0.1%: Bulls & Bears in a tug-of-war · D Oct 15, 2026

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Candle open
Price and energy
Open 157.981 · High 158.249 · Low 157.549 · Close 158.14 · Range (high − low) 0.7
USDJPY closed at 158.14, up 0.1585 (+0.10%) from 157.9815.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Neutral zone at 4.4% to Neutral at 9.4%, up 5.1 points.
Price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price158.534158.323157.982158.14
Energy50.5%44.5%4.4%9.4%
Price change↑ 0.22%↓ 0.13%↓ 0.22%↑ 0.10%
Energy change↑ 2.4↓ 6.1↓ 40.1↑ 5.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.22%↓ 0.13%↓ 0.22%↑ 0.10%↑ 2.4↓ 6.1↓ 40.1↑ 5.1
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.10% — higher than 27% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 5.1 pts — higher than 24% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral USDJPY Daily

Sample: 4,069 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-18
Number of Neutral occurrences: 330 times

▸When USDJPY is in Neutral:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 180 times — 54.5%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 150 times — 45.5%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: 9.45%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 11.43%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 30.33%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · D1 · 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDJPY chart →
Market Energy
4.4%
Neutral
9.4%
Neutral
9.0%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

As the Daily session concludes, USDJPY shows the balanced trend energy zone.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy rose +5.1% from the previous candle, from 4.4% to 9.4%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 2 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from 4.4 to 50.5.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle closed at 07:00 on 15-10-2026, USDJPY was at 158.14, up 0.1% from the previous candle (157.9815). Market Energy was 9.4%, up 5.1 points from 4.4%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 158.14, up 0.1% from the previous Daily candle (157.9815). This rise is larger than 27% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY, across 2,436 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 5.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 4.4% to 9.4%. This rise is larger than 24% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had USDJPY at 4.4%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 9.4%, USDJPY is 11.43 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 30.33 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -78.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -69.4%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Neutral, 9.4%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -98.9%. USDJPY energy is currently above DXY by 108.3 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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