Analysis

USDJPY 158.166 ↑0.2%: Bears in the peak-force zone · 4H 20:00 Oct 13, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 157.857 · High 158.194 · Low 157.855 · Close 158.166 · Range (high − low) 0.339
USDJPY closed at 158.166, up 0.308 (+0.20%) from 157.858.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Extreme zone at -94.6% to Bear Extreme at -78.9%, up 15.7 points.
Price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price158.495158.286157.858158.166
Energy46.6%-49.2%-94.6%-78.9%
Price change↓ 0.09%↓ 0.13%↓ 0.27%↑ 0.20%
Energy change↓ 34.4↓ 95.8↓ 45.4↑ 15.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.09%↓ 0.13%↓ 0.27%↑ 0.20%↓ 34.4↓ 95.8↓ 45.4↑ 15.7
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.20% — higher than 77% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 15.7 pts — higher than 64% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme USDJPY 4H

Sample: 18,370 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-22
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 581 times

▸When USDJPY is in Bear Extreme:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 581 times — 100%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: -78.86%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 4.36%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 21.14%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H4 · 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDJPY chart →
Market Energy
-94.6%
Bear Extreme
-78.9%
Bear Extreme
-1.7%
Neutral
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

USDJPY recorded in the peak Bear energy state as the 4H candle ended.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Market Energy rose +15.7% from the previous candle, from -94.6% to -78.9%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -94.6 to 91.5.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 20:00 on 13-10-2026, USDJPY was at 158.166, up 0.2% from the previous candle (157.858). Market Energy was -78.9%, up 15.7 points from -94.6%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 158.166, up 0.2% from the previous 4H candle (157.858). This rise is larger than 77% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY, across 12,118 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 15.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -94.6% to -78.9%. This rise is larger than 64% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at -94.6%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -78.9%, USDJPY is 4.36 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 21.14 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 80.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 93.8%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Extreme, -78.9%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -48.8%. USDJPY (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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