Analysis

USDJPY 157.3475 ↓0.51%: Bears have the edge · D Oct 22, 2026

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Candle open
Price and energy
Open 158.222 · High 158.324 · Low 157.119 · Close 157.3475 · Range (high − low) 1.205
USDJPY closed at 157.3475, down 0.8045 (-0.51%) from 158.152.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Bias zone at 29.7% to Bear Bias at -44.0%, down 73.8 points.
Third straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price158.53158.292158.152157.348
Energy37.2%39.4%29.7%-44.0%
Price change↑ 0.40%↓ 0.15%↓ 0.09%↓ 0.51%
Energy change↑ 33.1↑ 2.2↓ 9.7↓ 73.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.40%↓ 0.15%↓ 0.09%↓ 0.51%↑ 33.1↑ 2.2↓ 9.7↓ 73.8
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.51% — higher than 77% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 73.8 pts — higher than 97% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias USDJPY Daily

Sample: 4,073 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-22
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 323 times

▸When USDJPY is in Bear Bias:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 200 times — 61.9%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 123 times — 38.1%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: -44.05%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 23.17%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 15.95%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · D1 · 2026-10-22 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDJPY chart →
Market Energy
29.7%
Bull Bias
-44.0%
Bear Bias
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

USDJPY classified into the Bear Bias state after the Daily candle completed.

End-of-session energy readings on Daily, The energy level dropped -73.8%: from 29.7% now at -44%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -44 to 39.4.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle closed at 07:00 on 22-10-2026, USDJPY was at 157.3475, down 0.51% from the previous candle (158.152). Market Energy was -44%, down 73.8 points from 29.7%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 157.3475, down 0.51% from the previous Daily candle (158.152). This drop is larger than 77% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY, across 2,442 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 73.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 29.7% to -44%. This drop is larger than 97% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had USDJPY at 29.7%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Bias.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -44%, USDJPY is 23.17 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 15.95 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -79.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -28%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Bias, -44%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -21%. USDJPY (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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