USDJPY 4H: Energy Zone Transition Trends
Candle close
- Study type
- Historical statistics
- Question answered
- Direction of market moves
- Principle
- Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
- Candles studied
- 18,372 USDJPY 4H candles
- Period
- 2014-12-31 – 2026-10-22 (11.8 years)
- Result
- 7-zone table below ↓
Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.
USDJPY — Bear Extreme — 4H
◉ CURRENT CANDLEOccurrences: 581 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 581 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 8.72 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 16.78 points
USDJPY — Bear Critical — 4H
Occurrences: 827 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 592 times — 71.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 235 times — 28.4%
USDJPY — Bear Bias — 4H
Occurrences: 1,419 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 909 times — 64.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 510 times — 35.9%
USDJPY — Neutral — 4H
Occurrences: 1,539 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 849 times — 55.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 690 times — 44.8%
USDJPY — Bull Bias — 4H
Occurrences: 1,603 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 729 times — 45.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 874 times — 54.5%
USDJPY — Bull Critical — 4H
Occurrences: 1,075 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 394 times — 36.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 681 times — 63.3%
USDJPY — Bull Extreme — 4H
Occurrences: 827 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 827 times — 100%
What is the trend of USDJPY?
Historically, when USDJPY was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 581 observations).
Where is the market within its current zone?
The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -83.22%, 8.72 points from the upper bound and 16.78 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.
How are these statistics calculated?
Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.
Where does the data come from and how many candles?
The sample contains 18,372 candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.
Are these numbers a prediction?
No. These are historical frequencies describing USDJPY's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.
What are the 7 market energy states?
Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.
See all 7 Market States →To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .