Research

USDJPY 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
73,512 USDJPY 1H candles
Period
2015-01-01 – 2026-10-22 (11.8 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD4H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

USDJPY — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 2,183 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,183 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

USDJPY — Bear Critical — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 3,100 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,228 times — 71.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 872 times — 28.1%

Current market energy at -64.28%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 4.28 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 10.22 points

USDJPY — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 5,131 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 3,277 times — 63.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1,854 times — 36.1%

USDJPY — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 5,708 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 3,018 times — 52.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,690 times — 47.1%

USDJPY — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 5,627 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,307 times — 41%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 3,320 times — 59%

USDJPY — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 3,670 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,210 times — 33%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,460 times — 67%

USDJPY — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 2,592 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,592 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of USDJPY?

Historically, when USDJPY was in the Bear Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 71.9% of the time and down to a lower zone 28.1% of the time (across 3,100 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%. The market is at -64.28%, 4.28 points from the upper bound and 10.22 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 73,512 candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing USDJPY's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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