Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 154.561 to 154.865, up 0.20%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 76.9% to Bull Extreme 97.3%, up 20.4 pts
Up candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.08%0.22%0.35%0.20%
Energy7.749.274.420.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.08% 0.22% 0.35% 0.20% 7.7 49.2 74.4 20.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.20% — higher than 77% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 20.4 pts — higher than 72% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme USDJPY 4H

Sample: 18,199 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 815 times

When USDJPY is in Bull Extreme:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 815 times100%

Current USDJPY market energy: 97.29%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 2.71%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 22.79%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H4 · 2026-09-14 09:00 UTC
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Market Energy
76.9%
Bull Extreme
97.3%
Bull Extreme
Expected at
00:10
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

USDJPY classified into the Bull Extreme measurement after the 4H candle completed.

Meanwhile, Market Energy rose +20.4% this candle, currently 97.3% (previous candle 76.9%).

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -68.8 to +97.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 14-09-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 154.865, up 0.2% from the previous candle (154.561). Market Energy was 97.3%, up 20.4 points from 76.9%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 154.865, up 0.2% from the previous 4H candle (154.561). This rise is larger than 77% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY, across 11,992 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 20.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 76.9% to 97.3%. This rise is larger than 72% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at 76.9%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 97.3%, USDJPY is 2.71 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 22.79 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -80.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -31.9%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Extreme, 97.3%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 88.7%. USDJPY (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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