Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
USDJPY from 158.2095 to 158.073, down 0.09%
Market Energy Bull Bias 29.9% to Neutral -12.3%, down 42.2 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.00%▼ 0.15%▲ 0.02%▼ 0.09%
Energy▲ 7.0▼ 33.8▼ 12.2▼ 42.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.00%▼ 0.15%▲ 0.02%▼ 0.09%▲ 7.0▼ 33.8▼ 12.2▼ 42.2
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.09% — higher than 47% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 42.2 pts — higher than 88% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral USDJPY 4H

Sample: 18,300 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-06
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,527 times

▸When USDJPY is in Neutral:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 843 times — 55.2%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 684 times — 44.8%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: -12.26%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 33.14%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 8.62%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H4 · 2026-10-07 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
29.9%
Bull Bias
-12.3%
Neutral
Expected at
04:10
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Balanced trend energy recorded from just-completed 4H candle data for USDJPY.

Looking at the energy level, Energy delta -42.2%: Market Energy at -12.3%, previously 29.9%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -20.2 to +75.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 07-10-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 158.073, down 0.09% from the previous candle (158.2095). Market Energy was -12.3%, down 42.2 points from 29.9%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 158.073, down 0.09% from the previous 4H candle (158.2095). This drop is larger than 47% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY, across 12,095 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 42.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 29.9% to -12.3%. This drop is larger than 88% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at 29.9%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -12.3%, USDJPY is 33.14 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 8.62 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -80.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -72.2%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Neutral, -12.3%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 58.7%. USDJPY energy is currently below DXY by 71 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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