Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 154.865 to 154.32, down 0.35%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 97.3% to Bull Extreme 76.7%, down 20.6 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.22%0.35%0.20%0.35%
Energy49.274.420.420.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.22% 0.35% 0.20% 0.35% 49.2 74.4 20.4 20.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.35% — higher than 90% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 20.6 pts — higher than 74% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme USDJPY 4H

Sample: 18,199 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 815 times

When USDJPY is in Bull Extreme:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 815 times100%

Current USDJPY market energy: 76.72%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 23.28%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 2.22%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H4 · 2026-09-14 13:00 UTC
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Market Energy
97.3%
Bull Extreme
76.7%
Bull Extreme
Expected at
04:10
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The Bull Extreme level is the result just recorded for USDJPY after the 4H candle closed.

On the measurement side, A -20.6% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 76.7% (previous: 97.3%).

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -68.8 to +97.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 14-09-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 154.32, down 0.35% from the previous candle (154.865). Market Energy was 76.7%, down 20.6 points from 97.3%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 154.32, down 0.35% from the previous 4H candle (154.865). This drop is larger than 90% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY, across 11,993 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 20.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 97.3% to 76.7%. This drop is larger than 74% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at 97.3%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 76.7%, USDJPY is 23.28 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 2.22 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 11.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 30.2%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Extreme, 76.7%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 97.3%. USDJPY (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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