Analysis

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Price and energy
USDCAD from 1.3916 to 1.3903, down 0.10%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 97.9% to Bull Extreme 83.6%, down 14.3 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.04%0.16%0.14%0.10%
Energy4.329.09.714.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.04% 0.16% 0.14% 0.10% 4.3 29.0 9.7 14.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.10% — higher than 57% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 14.3 pts — higher than 67% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme USDCAD 4H

Sample: 18,200 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 276 times

When USDCAD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then USDCAD moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then USDCAD moved to lower Market State: 276 times100%

Current USDCAD market energy: 83.61%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 16.39%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 9.11%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

USDCAD · H4 · 2026-09-14 13:00 UTC
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Market Energy
97.9%
Bull Extreme
83.6%
Bull Extreme
Expected at
04:10
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, USDCAD shows the extreme Bull energy zone.

On the energy side, Market Energy at 83.6%, down -14.3% from 97.9% in the previous candle.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCAD Market Energy ranged from +50.6 to +97.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCAD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 14-09-2026 closed, USDCAD was at 1.3903, down 0.1% from the previous candle (1.3916). Market Energy was 83.6%, down 14.3 points from 97.9%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did USDCAD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCAD closed at 1.3903, down 0.1% from the previous 4H candle (1.3916). This drop is larger than 57% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD, across 11,993 candles since 2019.

How did USDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 14.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 97.9% to 83.6%. This drop is larger than 67% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD.

Do USDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDCAD at 97.9%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDCAD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 83.6%, USDCAD is 16.39 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 9.11 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 11.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 30.2%. Against this backdrop, USDCAD (Bull Extreme, 83.6%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 97.3%. USDCAD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

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