Research

USDCAD 4H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
18,371 USDCAD 4H candles
Period
2014-12-31 – 2026-10-22 (11.8 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

USDCAD — Bear Extreme — 4H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 264 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 264 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

Current market energy at -90.88%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 16.38 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 9.12 points

USDCAD — Bear Critical — 4H

Occurrences: 616 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 422 times — 68.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 194 times — 31.5%

USDCAD — Bear Bias — 4H

Occurrences: 1,379 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 955 times — 69.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 424 times — 30.7%

USDCAD — Neutral — 4H

Occurrences: 1,882 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 958 times — 50.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 924 times — 49.1%

USDCAD — Bull Bias — 4H

Occurrences: 1,474 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 472 times — 32%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1,002 times — 68%

USDCAD — Bull Critical — 4H

Occurrences: 633 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 186 times — 29.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 447 times — 70.6%

USDCAD — Bull Extreme — 4H

Occurrences: 290 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 290 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of USDCAD?

Historically, when USDCAD was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 264 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -90.88%, 16.38 points from the upper bound and 9.12 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 18,371 candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing USDCAD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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