Research

USDCAD 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
73,272 USDCAD 1H candles
Period
2015-01-01 – 2026-10-09 (11.8 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
ENERGY SHIFTS
▲ to a higher zone▼ to a lower zone★ current position

USDCAD — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 929 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 929 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

USDCAD — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 2,147 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,569 times — 73.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 578 times — 26.9%

USDCAD — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 5,448 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 3,854 times — 70.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1,594 times — 29.3%

USDCAD — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 7,288 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 3,634 times — 49.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 3,654 times — 50.1%

USDCAD — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 5,649 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,813 times — 32.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 3,836 times — 67.9%

USDCAD — Bull Critical — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 2,400 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 682 times — 28.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1,718 times — 71.6%

Current market energy at 72.08%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 2.42 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 12.08 points

USDCAD — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 1,089 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1,089 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of USDCAD?

Historically, when USDCAD was in the Bull Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 28.4% of the time and down to a lower zone 71.6% of the time (across 2,400 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%. The market is at 72.08%, 2.42 points from the upper bound and 12.08 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 73,272 candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-10-09, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing USDCAD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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