Research

USDCAD D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
4,064 USDCAD D candles
Period
2013-01-02 – 2026-10-21 (13.8 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W4H1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

USDCAD — Bear Extreme — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 46 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 46 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

Current market energy at -85.88%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 11.38 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 14.12 points

USDCAD — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 131 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 95 times — 72.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 36 times — 27.5%

USDCAD — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 313 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 212 times — 67.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 101 times — 32.3%

USDCAD — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 460 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 255 times — 55.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 205 times — 44.6%

USDCAD — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 367 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 114 times — 31.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 253 times — 68.9%

USDCAD — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 148 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 41 times — 27.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 107 times — 72.3%

USDCAD — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 51 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 51 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of USDCAD?

Historically, when USDCAD was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 46 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -85.88%, 11.38 points from the upper bound and 14.12 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 4,064 candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-21, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing USDCAD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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