Research

USDCAD W: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
615 USDCAD W candles
Period
2015-01-05 – 2026-10-12 (11.8 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
D4H1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

USDCAD — Bear Extreme — W

Occurrences: 4 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 4 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

USDCAD — Bear Critical — W

Occurrences: 15 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 11 times — 73.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 4 times — 26.7%

USDCAD — Bear Bias — W

Occurrences: 55 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 42 times — 76.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 13 times — 23.6%

USDCAD — Neutral — W

Occurrences: 76 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 35 times — 46.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 41 times — 53.9%

USDCAD — Bull Bias — W

Occurrences: 51 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 16 times — 31.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 35 times — 68.6%

USDCAD — Bull Critical — W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 22 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 10 times — 45.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 12 times — 54.5%

Current market energy at 71.37%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 3.13 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 11.37 points

USDCAD — Bull Extreme — W

Occurrences: 12 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 12 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of USDCAD?

Historically, when USDCAD was in the Bull Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 45.5% of the time and down to a lower zone 54.5% of the time (across 22 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%. The market is at 71.37%, 3.13 points from the upper bound and 11.37 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 615 candles from 2015-01-05 to 2026-10-12, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing USDCAD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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