Analysis

USDCAD 1.4139 ↓0.82%: Bulls very strong · W Oct 12, 2026

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Candle open
Price and energy
Open 1.4259 · High 1.43 · Low 1.4134 · Close 1.4139 · Range (high − low) 0.01657
USDCAD closed at 1.4139, down 0.01163 (-0.82%) from 1.4255.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Extreme zone at 97.7% to Bull Critical at 71.4%, down 26.4 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price1.41431.42491.42551.4139
Energy92.3%100.0%97.7%71.4%
Price change↑ 1.12%↑ 0.76%↑ 0.04%↓ 0.82%
Energy change↑ 50.2↑ 7.7↓ 2.3↓ 26.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 1.12%↑ 0.76%↑ 0.04%↓ 0.82%↑ 50.2↑ 7.7↓ 2.3↓ 26.4
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.82% — higher than 69% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 26.4 pts — higher than 86% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical USDCAD Weekly

Sample: 615 Weekly candles from 2015-01-05 to 2026-10-12
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 22 times

▸When USDCAD is in Bull Critical:

  • then USDCAD moved to higher Market State: 10 times — 45.5%
  • then USDCAD moved to lower Market State: 12 times — 54.5%

▸Current USDCAD market energy: 71.37%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 3.13%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 11.37%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

USDCAD · W1 · 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDCAD chart →
Market Energy
97.7%
Bull Extreme
71.4%
Bull Critical
Expected at
07:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

USDCAD processing result: Bull Critical after the Weekly candle closed.

On trend energy, Market Energy reading dropped -26.4%, moving from 97.7% to 71.4% after the Weekly candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 Weekly Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCAD price and energy show when this Weekly candle closed?

When the Weekly candle closed at 07:00 on 12-10-2026, USDCAD was at 1.4139, down 0.82% from the previous candle (1.4255). Market Energy was 71.4%, down 26.4 points from 97.7%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did USDCAD price move on this Weekly candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCAD closed at 1.4139, down 0.82% from the previous Weekly candle (1.4255). This drop is larger than 69% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for USDCAD, across 406 candles since 2019.

How did USDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 26.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 97.7% to 71.4%. This drop is larger than 86% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for USDCAD.

Do USDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDCAD in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had USDCAD at 97.7%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, USDCAD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does USDCAD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 71.4%, USDCAD is 3.13 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 11.37 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 79.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 68.1%. Against this backdrop, USDCAD (Bull Critical, 71.4%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -97.1%. USDCAD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

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