Analysis

USDCAD 1.4009 ↓0.03%: Bears in the peak-force zone · 4H 04:00 Oct 23, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 1.4014 · High 1.4016 · Low 1.4004 · Close 1.4009 · Range (high − low) 0.001265
USDCAD closed at 1.4009, down 0.00041 (-0.03%) from 1.4014.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Extreme zone at -80.9% to Bear Extreme at -90.9%, down 10.0 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price1.40181.40351.40141.4009
Energy-97.6%-77.1%-80.9%-90.9%
Price change↓ 0.12%↑ 0.12%↓ 0.15%↓ 0.03%
Energy change↓ 15.6↑ 20.5↓ 3.8↓ 10.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.12%↑ 0.12%↓ 0.15%↓ 0.03%↓ 15.6↑ 20.5↓ 3.8↓ 10.0
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.03% — higher than 20% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 10.0 pts — higher than 54% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme USDCAD 4H

Sample: 18,367 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-22
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 264 times

▸When USDCAD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then USDCAD moved to higher Market State: 264 times — 100%
  • then USDCAD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current USDCAD market energy: -90.88%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 16.38%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 9.12%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

USDCAD · H4 · 2026-10-22 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDCAD chart →
Market Energy
-80.9%
Bear Extreme
-90.9%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
08:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, Market Energy of USDCAD indicates the Bear Extreme zone.

Observing the USDCAD market this session, Market Energy reading dropped -10%, moving from -80.9% to -90.9% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 5 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCAD Market Energy ranged from -97.6 to -34.7.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCAD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 04:00 on 23-10-2026, USDCAD was at 1.4009, down 0.03% from the previous candle (1.4014). Market Energy was -90.9%, down 10.0 points from -80.9%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did USDCAD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCAD closed at 1.4009, down 0.03% from the previous 4H candle (1.4014). This drop is larger than 20% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD, across 12,162 candles since 2019.

How did USDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 10 percentage points from the previous candle — from -80.9% to -90.9%. This drop is larger than 54% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD.

Do USDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDCAD at -80.9%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDCAD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -90.9%, USDCAD is 16.38 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 9.12 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -56.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -37.8%. Against this backdrop, USDCAD (Bear Extreme, -90.9%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -77%. USDCAD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

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