Analysis

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Price and energy
BTCUSD from 77,776 to 78,578.02, up 1.03%
Market Energy Bull Critical 67.6% to Bull Extreme 77.0%, up 9.4 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.98%0.38%0.15%1.03%
Energy55.248.916.29.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.98% 0.38% 0.15% 1.03% 55.2 48.9 16.2 9.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 1.03% — higher than 75% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 9.4 pts — higher than 51% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme BTCUSD 4H

Sample: 21,367 4H candles from 2017-01-01 to 2026-09-13
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 795 times

When BTCUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 795 times100%

Current BTCUSD market energy: 76.99%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 23.01%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 2.49%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H4 · 2026-09-14 12:00 UTC
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Market Energy
67.6%
Bull Critical
77.0%
Bull Extreme
Expected at
03:10
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, BTCUSD in the Bull Extreme energy zone.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy rose +9.4% from the previous session, from 67.6% to 77%.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -72.4 to +83.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 19:00 on 14-09-2026 closed, BTCUSD was at 78,578.02, up 1.03% from the previous candle (77,776). Market Energy was 77%, up 9.4 points from 67.6%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 78,578.02, up 1.03% from the previous 4H candle (77,776). This rise is larger than 75% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 16,994 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 9.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 67.6% to 77%. This rise is larger than 51% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at 67.6%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, BTCUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bull Critical → Bull Extreme.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 77%, BTCUSD is 23.01 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 2.49 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -25.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 14.6%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bull Extreme, 77%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 85.7%. BTCUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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