BTCUSD 4H — Energy Zone Transition Trends
Updated to candle
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BTCUSD — Bear Extreme — 4H
Occurrences: 650 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 650 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%
BTCUSD — Bear Critical — 4H
Occurrences: 879 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 654 times — 74.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 225 times — 25.6%
BTCUSD — Bear Bias — 4H
◉ CURRENT CANDLEOccurrences: 1,475 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 935 times — 63.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 540 times — 36.6%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 2.72 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 36.4 points
BTCUSD — Neutral — 4H
Occurrences: 1,649 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 906 times — 54.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 743 times — 45.1%
BTCUSD — Bull Bias — 4H
Occurrences: 1,709 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 722 times — 42.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 987 times — 57.8%
BTCUSD — Bull Critical — 4H
Occurrences: 1,059 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 300 times — 28.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 759 times — 71.7%
BTCUSD — Bull Extreme — 4H
Occurrences: 794 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 794 times — 100%
What is the trend of BTCUSD?
Historically, when BTCUSD was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 63.4% of the time and down to a lower zone 36.6% of the time (across 1,475 observations).
Where is the market within its current zone?
The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -23.6%, 2.72 points from the upper bound and 36.4 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.
How are these statistics calculated?
Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.
Where does the data come from and how many candles?
The sample contains 21,269 candles from 2017-01-01 to 2026-08-28, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.
Are these numbers a prediction?
No. These are historical frequencies describing BTCUSD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.
What are the 7 market energy states?
Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.
See all 7 Market States →To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .