BTCUSD 4H: Energy Zone Transition Trends
Candle close
- Study type
- Historical statistics
- Question answered
- Direction of market moves
- Principle
- Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
- Candles studied
- 21,602 BTCUSD 4H candles
- Period
- 2017-01-01 – 2026-10-22 (9.8 years)
- Result
- 7-zone table below ↓
Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.
BTCUSD — Bear Extreme — 4H
◉ CURRENT CANDLEOccurrences: 662 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 662 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 5.67 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 19.83 points
BTCUSD — Bear Critical — 4H
Occurrences: 894 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 663 times — 74.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 231 times — 25.8%
BTCUSD — Bear Bias — 4H
Occurrences: 1,505 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 958 times — 63.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 547 times — 36.3%
BTCUSD — Neutral — 4H
Occurrences: 1,688 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 925 times — 54.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 763 times — 45.2%
BTCUSD — Bull Bias — 4H
Occurrences: 1,737 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 732 times — 42.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1,005 times — 57.9%
BTCUSD — Bull Critical — 4H
Occurrences: 1,071 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 304 times — 28.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 767 times — 71.6%
BTCUSD — Bull Extreme — 4H
Occurrences: 805 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 805 times — 100%
What is the trend of BTCUSD?
Historically, when BTCUSD was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 662 observations).
Where is the market within its current zone?
The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -80.17%, 5.67 points from the upper bound and 19.83 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.
How are these statistics calculated?
Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.
Where does the data come from and how many candles?
The sample contains 21,602 candles from 2017-01-01 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.
Are these numbers a prediction?
No. These are historical frequencies describing BTCUSD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.
What are the 7 market energy states?
Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.
See all 7 Market States →To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .