Research

BTCUSD D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
5,746 BTCUSD D candles
Period
2011-01-20 – 2026-10-21 (15.8 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W4H1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

BTCUSD — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 137 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 137 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

BTCUSD — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 231 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 169 times — 73.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 62 times — 26.8%

BTCUSD — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 396 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 263 times — 66.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 133 times — 33.6%

BTCUSD — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 459 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 240 times — 52.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 219 times — 47.7%

BTCUSD — Bull Bias — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 427 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 188 times — 44%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 239 times — 56%

Current market energy at 47.18%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 12.82 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 26.3 points

BTCUSD — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 297 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 124 times — 41.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 173 times — 58.2%

BTCUSD — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 235 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 235 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of BTCUSD?

Historically, when BTCUSD was in the Bull Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 44% of the time and down to a lower zone 56% of the time (across 427 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%. The market is at 47.18%, 12.82 points from the upper bound and 26.3 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 5,746 candles from 2011-01-20 to 2026-10-21, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing BTCUSD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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