Research

BTCUSD W: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
807 BTCUSD W candles
Period
2011-04-18 – 2026-10-05 (15.5 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
D4H1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

BTCUSD — Bear Extreme — W

Occurrences: 19 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 19 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

BTCUSD — Bear Critical — W

Occurrences: 34 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 27 times — 79.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 7 times — 20.6%

BTCUSD — Bear Bias — W

Occurrences: 54 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 33 times — 61.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 21 times — 38.9%

BTCUSD — Neutral — W

Occurrences: 56 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 28 times — 50%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 28 times — 50%

BTCUSD — Bull Bias — W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 61 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 31 times — 50.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 30 times — 49.2%

Current market energy at 59.09%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 0.91 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 38.21 points

BTCUSD — Bull Critical — W

Occurrences: 52 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 20 times — 38.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 32 times — 61.5%

BTCUSD — Bull Extreme — W

Occurrences: 39 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 39 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of BTCUSD?

Historically, when BTCUSD was in the Bull Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 50.8% of the time and down to a lower zone 49.2% of the time (across 61 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%. The market is at 59.09%, 0.91 points from the upper bound and 38.21 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 807 candles from 2011-04-18 to 2026-10-05, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing BTCUSD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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