POLUSD
POLUSD: studying 75 times Bears had the edge
Historical energy-state statistics for POLUSD across H1, H4, Daily, Weekly — from each timeframe's current zone.
Zone change
W
D
4H
1H
State
Neutral
Bear Bias
Bear Extreme
Bear Bias
To higher zone
36.4%
65.3%
100%
72%
To lower zone
63.6%
34.7%
0%
28%
Dist. upper
11.4 pts
0.5 pts
1.4 pts
5.8 pts
Dist. lower
30.3 pts
38.6 pts
24.1 pts
33.4 pts
Time in zone
Avg time
3.1 candles
4 candles
2.9 candles
3.2 candles
Longest
8 candles
14 candles
19 candles
24 candles
Current time
1 candles
10 candles
4 candles
7 candles
Count
11 ×
Neutral
75 ×
Bear Bias
54 ×
Bear Extreme
1480 ×
Bear Bias
Sample candles
109
768
4616
18466
Survey span
~2y
~2y
~2y
~2y
Zone change — notes
W: Tendency to leave the energy zone: 36% up / 64% down. Now to lower edge 30.3 pts, to upper edge 11.4 pts.
D: Tendency to leave the energy zone: 65% up / 35% down. Now to lower edge 38.6 pts, to upper edge 0.5 pts.
4H: Tendency to leave the energy zone: 100% up / 0% down. Now to lower edge 24.1 pts, to upper edge 1.4 pts.
1H: Tendency to leave the energy zone: 72% up / 28% down. Now to lower edge 33.4 pts, to upper edge 5.8 pts.
Time in zone — notes
W: usually in Neutral about 3.1 candles, longest 8 candles; now 1 candles (shorter than average).
D: usually in Bear Bias about 4 candles, longest 14 candles; now 10 candles (longer than average).
4H: usually in Bear Extreme about 2.9 candles, longest 19 candles; now 4 candles (longer than average).
1H: usually in Bear Bias about 3.2 candles, longest 24 candles; now 7 candles (longer than average).
Frequently asked questions
From its current zone, does POLUSD tend to move up or down?
W (Neutral): 36% to higher / 64% to lower; D (Bear Bias): 65% to higher / 35% to lower; 4H (Bear Extreme): 100% to higher / 0% to lower; 1H (Bear Bias): 72% to higher / 28% to lower.
How long does POLUSD usually stay in its current zone?
W: about 3.1 candles (longest 8); D: about 4 candles (longest 14); 4H: about 2.9 candles (longest 19); 1H: about 3.2 candles (longest 24).
How far is POLUSD from the zone-change thresholds now?
W: 11.4 pts to upper edge, 30.3 pts to lower; D: 0.5 pts to upper edge, 38.6 pts to lower; 4H: 1.4 pts to upper edge, 24.1 pts to lower; 1H: 5.8 pts to upper edge, 33.4 pts to lower.
See current analysis →How much data are these statistics based on?
W: 109 candles (~2y); D: 768 candles (~2y); 4H: 4616 candles (~2y); 1H: 18466 candles (~2y).