Research

POLUSD D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
768 POLUSD D candles
Period
2024-09-14 – 2026-10-21 (2.1 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W4H1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

POLUSD — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 4 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 4 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

POLUSD — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 26 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 24 times — 92.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2 times — 7.7%

POLUSD — Bear Bias — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 75 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 49 times — 65.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 26 times — 34.7%

Current market energy at -21.38%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 0.5 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 38.62 points

POLUSD — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 76 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 31 times — 40.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 45 times — 59.2%

POLUSD — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 45 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 13 times — 28.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 32 times — 71.1%

POLUSD — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 19 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 8 times — 42.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 11 times — 57.9%

POLUSD — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 12 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 12 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of POLUSD?

Historically, when POLUSD was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 65.3% of the time and down to a lower zone 34.7% of the time (across 75 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -21.38%, 0.5 points from the upper bound and 38.62 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 768 candles from 2024-09-14 to 2026-10-21, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing POLUSD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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