Research

POLUSD 4H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
4,616 POLUSD 4H candles
Period
2024-09-13 – 2026-10-22 (2.1 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

POLUSD — Bear Extreme — 4H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 54 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 54 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

Current market energy at -75.86%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 1.36 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 24.14 points

POLUSD — Bear Critical — 4H

Occurrences: 134 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 104 times — 77.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 30 times — 22.4%

POLUSD — Bear Bias — 4H

Occurrences: 368 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 259 times — 70.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 109 times — 29.6%

POLUSD — Neutral — 4H

Occurrences: 468 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 217 times — 46.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 251 times — 53.6%

POLUSD — Bull Bias — 4H

Occurrences: 329 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 108 times — 32.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 221 times — 67.2%

POLUSD — Bull Critical — 4H

Occurrences: 149 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 44 times — 29.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 105 times — 70.5%

POLUSD — Bull Extreme — 4H

Occurrences: 67 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 67 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of POLUSD?

Historically, when POLUSD was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 54 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -75.86%, 1.36 points from the upper bound and 24.14 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 4,616 candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing POLUSD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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