Analysis

POLUSD 0.0904 ↓0.5%: Bears in the peak-force zone · 4H 03:00 Oct 23, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.09086 · High 0.09102 · Low 0.08944 · Close 0.0904 · Range (high − low) 0.00158
POLUSD closed at 0.0904, down 0.00045 (-0.50%) from 0.09085.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Extreme zone at -81.8% to Bear Extreme at -75.9%, up 5.9 points.
Fourth straight down candle, energy diverges from price.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.091570.091560.090850.0904
Energy-93.8%-89.2%-81.8%-75.9%
Price change↓ 1.61%↓ 0.01%↓ 0.78%↓ 0.50%
Energy change↓ 22.0↑ 4.6↑ 7.4↑ 5.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 1.61%↓ 0.01%↓ 0.78%↓ 0.50%↓ 22.0↑ 4.6↑ 7.4↑ 5.9
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.50% — higher than 30% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 5.9 pts — higher than 35% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme POLUSD 4H

Sample: 4,614 4H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-10-22
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 54 times

▸When POLUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 54 times — 100%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current POLUSD market energy: -75.86%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 1.36%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 24.14%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H4 · 2026-10-22 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live POLUSD chart →
Market Energy
-81.8%
Bear Extreme
-75.9%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The Bear Extreme state determined for POLUSD through the 4H candle data.

Market trend update: Market Energy at -75.9%, up +5.9% from -81.8% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 4 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -97.4 to 81.1.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 03:00 on 22-10-2026, POLUSD was at 0.0904, down 0.5% from the previous candle (0.09085). Market Energy was -75.9%, up 5.9 points from -81.8%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.0904, down 0.5% from the previous 4H candle (0.09085). This drop is larger than 30% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD, across 4,615 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 5.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -81.8% to -75.9%. This rise is larger than 35% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price decline with energy moving the other way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at -81.8%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -75.9%, POLUSD is 1.36 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 24.14 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -42.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -28.2%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bear Extreme, -75.9%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -71.4%. POLUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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