Analysis

POLUSD 0.0915 ↓12.16%: Bulls & Bears in a tug-of-war · W Oct 12, 2026

·
Candle open
Price and energy
Open 0.10417 · High 0.1083 · Low 0.08776 · Close 0.0915 · Range (high − low) 0.02054
POLUSD closed at 0.0915, down 0.01267 (-12.16%) from 0.10417.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Bias zone at 50.3% to Neutral at 9.5%, down 40.9 points.
Third straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.122080.110110.104170.0915
Energy82.9%67.3%50.3%9.5%
Price change↑ 12.05%↓ 9.80%↓ 5.39%↓ 12.16%
Energy change↑ 29.2↓ 15.6↓ 17.0↓ 40.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 12.05%↓ 9.80%↓ 5.39%↓ 12.16%↑ 29.2↓ 15.6↓ 17.0↓ 40.9
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 12.16% — higher than 75% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 40.9 pts — higher than 99% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral POLUSD Weekly

Sample: 108 Weekly candles from 2024-09-16 to 2026-10-05
Number of Neutral occurrences: 11 times

▸When POLUSD is in Neutral:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 4 times — 36.4%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 7 times — 63.6%

▸Current POLUSD market energy: 9.46%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 11.42%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 30.34%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · W1 · 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live POLUSD chart →
Market Energy
50.3%
Bull Bias
9.5%
Neutral
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

POLUSD processing result: the balanced energy zone after the Weekly candle closed.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy moved from 50.3% to 9.5%, down -40.9% from the previous candle.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 Weekly Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this Weekly candle closed?

When the Weekly candle closed at 07:00 on 12-10-2026, POLUSD was at 0.0915, down 12.16% from the previous candle (0.10417). Market Energy was 9.5%, down 40.9 points from 50.3%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this Weekly candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.0915, down 12.16% from the previous Weekly candle (0.10417). This drop is larger than 75% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for POLUSD, across 108 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 40.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 50.3% to 9.5%. This drop is larger than 99% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had POLUSD at 50.3%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, POLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 9.5%, POLUSD is 11.42 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 30.34 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 79.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 68.1%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Neutral, 9.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -97.1%. POLUSD energy is currently above DXY by 106.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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