Analysis

POLUSD 0.10417 ↓5.39%: Bulls have the edge · W Oct 5, 2026

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Candle open
Price and energy
Open 0.11012 · High 0.11187 · Low 0.09456 · Close 0.10417 · Range (high − low) 0.01731
POLUSD closed at 0.10417, down 0.00594 (-5.39%) from 0.11011.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Critical zone at 67.3% to Bull Bias at 50.3%, down 17.0 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.108950.122080.110110.10417
Energy53.6%82.9%67.3%50.3%
Price change↑ 13.62%↑ 12.05%↓ 9.80%↓ 5.39%
Energy change↑ 30.9↑ 29.2↓ 15.6↓ 17.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 13.62%↑ 12.05%↓ 9.80%↓ 5.39%↑ 30.9↑ 29.2↓ 15.6↓ 17.0
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 5.39% — higher than 45% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 17.0 pts — higher than 78% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias POLUSD Weekly

Sample: 109 Weekly candles from 2024-09-16 to 2026-10-12
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 7 times

▸When POLUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 2 times — 28.6%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 5 times — 71.4%

▸Current POLUSD market energy: 50.33%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 9.67%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 29.45%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · W1 · 2026-10-05 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live POLUSD chart →
Market Energy
67.3%
Bull Critical
50.3%
Bull Bias
9.5%
Neutral
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the Weekly candle closes, Market POLUSD in the energy zone leaning Bull.

On the energy side, Market Energy dropped -17% from the previous session, from 67.3% to 50.3%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 Weekly Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this Weekly candle closed?

When the Weekly candle closed at 07:00 on 05-10-2026, POLUSD was at 0.10417, down 5.39% from the previous candle (0.11011). Market Energy was 50.3%, down 17.0 points from 67.3%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this Weekly candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.10417, down 5.39% from the previous Weekly candle (0.11011). This drop is larger than 45% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for POLUSD, across 107 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 17 percentage points from the previous candle — from 67.3% to 50.3%. This drop is larger than 78% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had POLUSD at 67.3%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, POLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bull Bias.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 50.3%, POLUSD is 9.67 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 29.45 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 49.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 43%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Bull Bias, 50.3%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -14.7%. POLUSD energy is currently above DXY by 65.1 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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