Research

POLUSD 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
18,466 POLUSD 1H candles
Period
2024-09-13 – 2026-10-22 (2.1 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD4H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

POLUSD — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 257 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 257 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

POLUSD — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 558 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 420 times — 75.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 138 times — 24.7%

POLUSD — Bear Bias — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 1,480 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,066 times — 72%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 414 times — 28%

Current market energy at -41.33%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 20.45 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 18.67 points

POLUSD — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 1,949 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 944 times — 48.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1,005 times — 51.6%

POLUSD — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 1,382 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 404 times — 29.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 978 times — 70.8%

POLUSD — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 505 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 140 times — 27.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 365 times — 72.3%

POLUSD — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 253 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 253 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of POLUSD?

Historically, when POLUSD was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 72% of the time and down to a lower zone 28% of the time (across 1,480 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -41.33%, 20.45 points from the upper bound and 18.67 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 18,466 candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing POLUSD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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