BTCUSD
BTCUSD: studying 427 times Bulls had the edge
Historical energy-state statistics for BTCUSD across H1, H4, Daily, Weekly — from each timeframe's current zone.
Zone change
W
D
4H
1H
State
Bull Bias
Bull Bias
Bear Extreme
Bear Bias
To higher zone
50.8%
44%
100%
66.6%
To lower zone
49.2%
56%
0%
33.4%
Dist. upper
0.9 pts
12.8 pts
5.7 pts
10.6 pts
Dist. lower
38.2 pts
26.3 pts
19.8 pts
28.5 pts
Time in zone
Avg time
2.6 candles
2.8 candles
2.9 candles
2.4 candles
Longest
10 candles
16 candles
14 candles
18 candles
Current time
1 candles
1 candles
4 candles
2 candles
Count
61 ×
Bull Bias
427 ×
Bull Bias
662 ×
Bear Extreme
7911 ×
Bear Bias
Sample candles
807
5746
21602
95503
Survey span
~15y
~16y
~10y
~11y
Zone change — notes
W: Tendency to leave the energy zone: 51% up / 49% down. Now to lower edge 38.2 pts, to upper edge 0.9 pts.
D: Tendency to leave the energy zone: 44% up / 56% down. Now to lower edge 26.3 pts, to upper edge 12.8 pts.
4H: Tendency to leave the energy zone: 100% up / 0% down. Now to lower edge 19.8 pts, to upper edge 5.7 pts.
1H: Tendency to leave the energy zone: 67% up / 33% down. Now to lower edge 28.5 pts, to upper edge 10.6 pts.
Time in zone — notes
W: usually in Bull Bias about 2.6 candles, longest 10 candles; now 1 candles (shorter than average).
D: usually in Bull Bias about 2.8 candles, longest 16 candles; now 1 candles (shorter than average).
4H: usually in Bear Extreme about 2.9 candles, longest 14 candles; now 4 candles (longer than average).
1H: usually in Bear Bias about 2.4 candles, longest 18 candles; now 2 candles (shorter than average).
Frequently asked questions
From its current zone, does BTCUSD tend to move up or down?
W (Bull Bias): 51% to higher / 49% to lower; D (Bull Bias): 44% to higher / 56% to lower; 4H (Bear Extreme): 100% to higher / 0% to lower; 1H (Bear Bias): 67% to higher / 33% to lower.
How long does BTCUSD usually stay in its current zone?
W: about 2.6 candles (longest 10); D: about 2.8 candles (longest 16); 4H: about 2.9 candles (longest 14); 1H: about 2.4 candles (longest 18).
How far is BTCUSD from the zone-change thresholds now?
W: 0.9 pts to upper edge, 38.2 pts to lower; D: 12.8 pts to upper edge, 26.3 pts to lower; 4H: 5.7 pts to upper edge, 19.8 pts to lower; 1H: 10.6 pts to upper edge, 28.5 pts to lower.
See current analysis →How much data are these statistics based on?
W: 807 candles (~15y); D: 5746 candles (~16y); 4H: 21602 candles (~10y); 1H: 95503 candles (~11y).