Analysis

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Price and energy
XPDUSD from 1,296.5 to 1,304.2, up 0.59%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -93.1% to Bear Extreme -82.2%, up 10.9 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.76%0.75%1.05%0.59%
Energy1.11.83.710.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.76% 0.75% 1.05% 0.59% 1.1 1.8 3.7 10.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.59% — higher than 52% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 10.9 pts — higher than 42% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme XPDUSD 4H

Sample: 179 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 7 times

When XPDUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then XPDUSD moved to higher Market State: 7 times100%
  • then XPDUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current XPDUSD market energy: -82.23%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 7.73%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 17.77%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

XPDUSD · H4 · 2026-09-02 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-93.1%
Bear Extreme
-82.2%
Bear Extreme
-29.2%
Bear Bias
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 4H candle, Market XPDUSD in the Bear Extreme level.

Market energy movement Market trend energy recorded a +10.9% rise from the previous candle, from -93.1% to -82.2%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 6 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XPDUSD Market Energy ranged from -96.8 to +100.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XPDUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 02-09-2026 closed, XPDUSD was at 1,304.2, up 0.59% from the previous candle (1,296.5). Market Energy was -82.2%, up 10.9 points from -93.1%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did XPDUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

XPDUSD closed at 1,304.2, up 0.59% from the previous 4H candle (1,296.5). This rise is larger than 52% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for XPDUSD, across 146 candles since 2019.

How did XPDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 10.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -93.1% to -82.2%. This rise is larger than 42% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for XPDUSD.

Do XPDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was XPDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XPDUSD at -93.1%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XPDUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -82.2%, XPDUSD is 7.73 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 17.77 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -41.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -6.9%. Against this backdrop, XPDUSD (Bear Extreme, -82.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 38.2%. XPDUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XPDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XPDUSD on the XPDUSD overview →

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