Analysis

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Price and energy
GBPJPY from 208.143 to 207.7725, down 0.18%
Market Energy Bear Bias -40.3% to Bear Extreme -77.0%, down 36.7 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.08%0.20%0.13%0.18%
Energy3.323.776.336.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.08% 0.20% 0.13% 0.18% 3.3 23.7 76.3 36.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.18% — higher than 66% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 36.7 pts — higher than 84% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme GBPJPY 4H

Sample: 18,185 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 620 times

When GBPJPY is in Bear Extreme:

  • then GBPJPY moved to higher Market State: 620 times100%
  • then GBPJPY moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current GBPJPY market energy: -77%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 2.5%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 23%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

GBPJPY · H4 · 2026-09-11 09:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-40.3%
Bear Bias
-77.0%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
00:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the system processes the 4H candle, Market Energy of GBPJPY indicates the Bear Extreme reading.

At the 4H session close, Market Energy at -77%, down -36.7% from -40.3% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPJPY Market Energy ranged from -86.9 to +59.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 11-09-2026 closed, GBPJPY was at 207.7725, down 0.18% from the previous candle (208.143). Market Energy was -77%, down 36.7 points from -40.3%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did GBPJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPJPY closed at 207.7725, down 0.18% from the previous 4H candle (208.143). This drop is larger than 66% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPJPY, across 11,978 candles since 2019.

How did GBPJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 36.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -40.3% to -77%. This drop is larger than 84% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPJPY.

Do GBPJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was GBPJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GBPJPY at -40.3%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, GBPJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does GBPJPY energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -77%, GBPJPY is 2.5 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 23 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 91.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 95.1%. Against this backdrop, GBPJPY (Bear Extreme, -77%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 66.4%. GBPJPY (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPJPY on the GBPJPY overview →

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