Analysis

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Price and energy
ADAUSD from 0.2078 to 0.2024, down 2.60%
Market Energy Bear Bias -43.0% to Bear Critical -73.3%, down 30.4 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price2.15%1.51%0.00%2.60%
Energy19.07.96.730.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
2.15% 1.51%0.00% 2.60% 19.0 7.9 6.7 30.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.60% — higher than 87% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 30.4 pts — higher than 92% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical ADAUSD 4H

Sample: 18,403 4H candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 481 times

When ADAUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 377 times78.4%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 104 times21.6%

Current ADAUSD market energy: -73.34%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 13.34%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 1.16%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · H4 · 2026-09-11 08:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-43.0%
Bear Bias
-73.3%
Bear Critical
Expected at
23:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, ADAUSD recorded in the near-peak Bear energy level.

The market energy reading Market Energy reading dropped -30.4%, moving from -43% to -73.3% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -73.3 to +75.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 15:00 on 11-09-2026 closed, ADAUSD was at 0.2024, down 2.6% from the previous candle (0.2078). Market Energy was -73.3%, down 30.4 points from -43%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.2024, down 2.6% from the previous 4H candle (0.2078). This drop is larger than 87% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 16,858 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 30.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -43% to -73.3%. This drop is larger than 92% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ADAUSD at -43%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, ADAUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -73.3%, ADAUSD is 13.34 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 1.16 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 92.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 80.6%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Bear Critical, -73.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 49.1%. ADAUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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