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Research

ADAUSD 4H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
18,653 ADAUSD 4H candles
Period
2018-04-17 – 2026-10-22 (8.5 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme261 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical528 times
↑25.9%
↓74.1%
Bull Bias1,320 times
↑29.2%
↓70.8%
Neutral1,833 times
↑48.3%
↓51.7%
Bear Bias1,375 times
↑71.6%
↓28.4%
Bear Critical496 times
↑78.6%
↓21.4%
Bear Extreme★★194 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bear Extreme→Sellers→

ADAUSD — Bear Extreme — 4H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 194 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 194 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

Current market energy at -76.16%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 1.66 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 23.84 points

ADAUSD — Bear Critical — 4H

Occurrences: 496 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 390 times — 78.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 106 times — 21.4%

ADAUSD — Bear Bias — 4H

Occurrences: 1,375 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 984 times — 71.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 391 times — 28.4%

ADAUSD — Neutral — 4H

Occurrences: 1,833 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 886 times — 48.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 947 times — 51.7%

ADAUSD — Bull Bias — 4H

Occurrences: 1,320 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 385 times — 29.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 935 times — 70.8%

ADAUSD — Bull Critical — 4H

Occurrences: 528 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 137 times — 25.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 391 times — 74.1%

ADAUSD — Bull Extreme — 4H

Occurrences: 261 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 261 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of ADAUSD?

Historically, when ADAUSD was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 194 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -76.16%, 1.66 points from the upper bound and 23.84 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 18,653 candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing ADAUSD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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