Research

ADAUSD 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
74,225 ADAUSD 1H candles
Period
2018-04-17 – 2026-10-08 (8.5 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
ENERGY SHIFTS
▲ to a higher zone▼ to a lower zone★ current position

ADAUSD — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 803 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 803 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

ADAUSD — Bear Critical — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 1,861 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,469 times — 78.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 392 times — 21.1%

Current market energy at -63.73%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 3.73 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 10.77 points

ADAUSD — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 5,607 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 4,175 times — 74.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1,432 times — 25.5%

ADAUSD — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 7,819 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 3,802 times — 48.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 4,017 times — 51.4%

ADAUSD — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 5,390 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,477 times — 27.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 3,913 times — 72.6%

ADAUSD — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 1,998 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 499 times — 25%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1,499 times — 75%

ADAUSD — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 920 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 920 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of ADAUSD?

Historically, when ADAUSD was in the Bear Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 78.9% of the time and down to a lower zone 21.1% of the time (across 1,861 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%. The market is at -63.73%, 3.73 points from the upper bound and 10.77 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 74,225 candles from 2018-04-17 to 2026-10-08, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing ADAUSD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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ADAUSD 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends | 2AiTrading